Calendar

Events Calendar

21 - 27 April, 2019
April 22
  • 02:30pm - 04:00pm  Joshua Lewis, Yale University - Money, History and Finance

    “Effects of Environmental Regulation: The U.S. Electricity Sector, 1938-1999” (joint with Karen Clay, Akshaya Jha, and Edson Severnini)

    02:30pm - 04:00pm | NJ Hall room 101 | Coordinator: Michael Bordo

April 23
April 24
April 25
  • 04:00pm - 05:30pm  Jia Li, Duke University -  Econometrics

    "Measuring China’s stock market sentiment"

    Abstract: This paper develops textual sentiment measures for China’s stock market by extracting the textual tone of 60 million messages posted on a major online investor forum in China from 2008 to 2018. We conduct sentiment extraction by using both conventional dictionary methods based on customized word lists and supervised machine-learning methods (support vector machine and convolutional neural network). The market-level textual sentiment index is constructed as the average of message-level sentiment scores, and the textual disagreement index is constructed as their dispersion. These textual measures allow us to test a range of predictions of classical behavioral asset-pricing models within a unified empirical setting. We find that textual sentiment can significantly predict market return, exhibiting a salient underreaction-overreaction pattern on a time scale of several months. This effect is more pronounced for small and growth stocks, and is stronger under higher investor attention and during more volatile periods. We also find that textual sentiment exerts a significant and asymmetric impact on future volatility. Finally, we show that trading volume will be higher when textual sentiment is unusually high or low and when there are more differences of opinion, as measured by our textual disagreement. Based on a massive textual dataset, our analysis provides support for the noise-trading theory and the limits-to-arbitrage argument, as well as predictions from limited-attention and disagreement models.

    04:00pm - 05:30pm | NJ Hall 3rd Floor Library | Coordinator: Yuan Liao

April 26
  • 02:00pm - 03:30pm  Kyung Park, Wellesley College - Empirical Microeconomics

    "Home Prices in Close Proximity to Mosques Before and After 9/11"

    02:00pm - 03:30pm | NJ Hall 3rd Floor Library | Coordinator: Anne Piehl and Anne Piehl

Upcoming Events

Mon Sep 28 @ 2:30PM - 04:00PM
Money, History and Finance
Angela Vossmeyer, Claremont College
Tue Sep 29 @ 3:00PM - 04:30PM
Macroeconomic Theory
Diego Anzoategui, Rutgers University
Wed Sep 30 @ 2:45PM - 04:15PM
Micro Theory/Experimental Seminar
Xuesong Huang, Rutgers University Graduate Student
Thu Oct 01 @ 4:00PM - 05:20PM
Econometrics
Xu Han, Temple University
Fri Oct 02 @ 3:00PM - 04:00PM
Empirical Microeconomics
Amanda Agan, Rutgers University
Mon Oct 05 @ 2:30PM - 04:00PM
Money, History and Finance
John Landon-Lane, Rutgers University
Thu Oct 08 @ 1:30PM - 03:00PM
Econometrics
Michael Leung, University of Southern California
Fri Oct 09 @ 2:00PM - 03:00PM
Empirical Microeconomics
Yeonbin Yang, Rutgers University Graduate Student
Mon Oct 12 @ 2:30PM - 04:00PM
Money, History and Finance
Peter Veru, University of Colorado
Tue Oct 13 @ 3:00PM - 04:30PM
Macroeconomic Theory
Xuesong Huang, Rutgers University Graduate Student
Fri Oct 16 @ 3:00PM - 04:00PM
Empirical Microeconomics
Jennifer Hunt, Rutgers University
Tue Oct 20 @ 3:00PM - 04:30PM
Macroeconomic Theory
Yan Xue, Rutgers University Graduate Student
Wed Oct 21 @ 2:45PM - 04:15PM
Micro Theory/Experimental Seminar
R. Vijay Krishna, Rutgers University Graduate Student
Fri Oct 23 @ 3:00PM - 04:00PM
Empirical Microeconomics
Suwei Luo, Rutgers University Graduate Student
Mon Oct 26 @ 2:30PM - 04:00PM
Money, History and Finance
Nathan Sussman, Geneva