Calendar

Events Calendar

21 - 27 April, 2019
April 22
  • 02:30pm - 04:00pm  Joshua Lewis, Yale University - Money, History and Finance

    “Effects of Environmental Regulation: The U.S. Electricity Sector, 1938-1999” (joint with Karen Clay, Akshaya Jha, and Edson Severnini)

    02:30pm - 04:00pm | NJ Hall room 101 | Coordinator: Michael Bordo

April 23
April 24
April 25
  • 04:00pm - 05:30pm  Jia Li, Duke University -  Econometrics

    "Measuring China’s stock market sentiment"

    Abstract: This paper develops textual sentiment measures for China’s stock market by extracting the textual tone of 60 million messages posted on a major online investor forum in China from 2008 to 2018. We conduct sentiment extraction by using both conventional dictionary methods based on customized word lists and supervised machine-learning methods (support vector machine and convolutional neural network). The market-level textual sentiment index is constructed as the average of message-level sentiment scores, and the textual disagreement index is constructed as their dispersion. These textual measures allow us to test a range of predictions of classical behavioral asset-pricing models within a unified empirical setting. We find that textual sentiment can significantly predict market return, exhibiting a salient underreaction-overreaction pattern on a time scale of several months. This effect is more pronounced for small and growth stocks, and is stronger under higher investor attention and during more volatile periods. We also find that textual sentiment exerts a significant and asymmetric impact on future volatility. Finally, we show that trading volume will be higher when textual sentiment is unusually high or low and when there are more differences of opinion, as measured by our textual disagreement. Based on a massive textual dataset, our analysis provides support for the noise-trading theory and the limits-to-arbitrage argument, as well as predictions from limited-attention and disagreement models.

    04:00pm - 05:30pm | NJ Hall 3rd Floor Library | Coordinator: Yuan Liao

April 26
  • 02:00pm - 03:30pm  Kyung Park, Wellesley College - Empirical Microeconomics

    "Home Prices in Close Proximity to Mosques Before and After 9/11"

    02:00pm - 03:30pm | NJ Hall 3rd Floor Library | Coordinator: Anne Piehl and Anne Piehl

Upcoming Events

Wed Mar 04 @ 4:30PM - 05:45PM
Special Event Seminar
William Gale, Arjay and Frances Miller Chair in Federal Economic Policy, Brookings Institution
Thu Mar 05 @ 4:00PM - 05:30PM
Econometrics
Whitney Newey, MIT
Fri Mar 06 @ 2:00PM - 03:30PM
Empirical Microeconomics
Subha Mani, Fordham University
Tue Mar 10 @ 2:50PM - 04:10PM
Macroeconomic Theory
Corina Boar, New York University
Mon Mar 23 @ 2:30PM - 04:00PM
Money, History and Finance
Pete Veru, University of Washington
Tue Mar 24 @ 2:50PM - 04:10PM
Macroeconomic Theory
Pei Chung Yu, UNSW Business School
Thu Mar 26 @ 4:00PM - 05:30PM
Econometrics
Andrei Zeleneev, Princeton University
Fri Mar 27 @ 2:00PM - 03:30PM
Empirical Microeconomics
Mark McGovern, Rutgers University, School of Public Health
Thu Apr 02 @ 4:00PM - 05:30PM
Econometrics
Tim Armstrong, Yale University
Mon Apr 06 @ 2:30PM - 04:00PM
Money, History and Finance
Matthew Botsch, Bowdoin College
Wed Apr 08 @ 2:45PM - 04:15PM
Micro Theory/Experimental Seminar
R Vijay Krishna, Florida State University